Sunday analysis:
Friends, Danny is weakening as forecast. It will continue to weaken until at least mid week.
FORECAST: The Leeward Islands will be hit by a WEAK Tropical Storm Danny early
Monday morning and Puerto Rico by a Tropical Depression early Tuesday morning.
It is likely that the Dominican Republic will be next, Wednesday morning. Incidentally, bring with it much needed rain. I believe after Wednesday or even Wednesday Danny may start to move gently Northward, or it could continue toward Cuba. It's future depends on which road to take. Anthropomorphically, there is really warm water everywhere, and if it make some good choices, it could get a second chance of life.
In any event, going back to the beginning, The Gulf waters and just off the East coast of Florida the waters are HOT. Just waiting for a storm. I just don't see Tallahassee, and the Big Bend or the peninsula of Florida of being hit by a hurricane Danny. Zero chance.
DISCUSSION: What happens after Wednesday is dependent on what happens to
Danny as the path is dependent on the strength of the storm and visa versa. It is a very co-dependent relationship. A case can be argued for almost an scenario. That is why we have to watch and why very long range predictions are rarely accurate. This time of year, then Eastern Atlantic is a nursery for hurricanes. Right now, there is a possible next hurricane and for the next 6 weeks this region bears special attention.
NEXT FORECAST: Monday Aug 24
Peter Ray