The low that was in Richards way is now gone! Woo Hoo!
The low that has been chasing Dauntless and was forecast 3-4 days ago to go south of Richard, maybe into Biscay, is now hitting Richard.
This low started making a turn to the north, basically aiming for Richard, over the last few days, and the turn increased last night and this morning.
There is a high off the east coast of Scotland that might be causing the turn as well as the winds at the 500MB level. Anyway....
Richard is on the east side of this 997MB low which was 1005 MB about 24 hours ago. It looks like when the low came through, he was on the bad side of the low since the winds were blowing in the low's line of travel.
There is a ship near his position reporting SSW winds at 15 knots. Another ship a bit east has 20 knot winds from the south. Richard's course is now NNE I think to keep the waves on his stern. As the low moves north and Dauntless moves east, the winds should start to come from the south and he can change course back to Ireland.
I sent updates last night to give him a warning about the low and what conditions should be overnight and this morning. Not that there is much he can do but change course. Hopefully, this morning's weather data will brighten his day since it seems in a few hours he should have better weather going into port.
From his texts, it seems he might go to Scilly if needed or just continue into Ireland. If the winds return move around from the south I bet he heads back to Ireland. I sure would.
Later,
Dan