This sucks. At 6am my local news said it would make landfall around North Myrtle Beach and head straight for my area, Spartanburg, SC. I hope it spins itself out and loses power before coming ashore. This is reminding me to much of Hugo in the late 80's.
Very similar to Hugo in it's threat to SC. May be less force and more rain and this is on top of already soaked land.
Just think back to 2015 and the early October floods. The roads were impassable for days.
In many ways this is very similar to Harvey.
The official forecast is very much like the Euro model was yesterday.
Also concern for the NC mountains and mudslides.
If you follow local news you find unique situations in each community. Hospital in Myrtle Beach already being evacuated. Little River water and sewage to be shut off in a couple of hours. One more ferry transporting from Ocracoke. Prison in evacuation zone not being evacuated and concerns over the many hazardous waste sites about which FEMA had no real comment other than mediation afterwards.
At this point, most areas of SC and NC face potential between bad and catastrophic. There are not many coastal areas or even eastern areas that won't be significantly impacted. For some, it will be storm surge, others wind, and others fresh water flooding. I see a sense of relief in Virginia and further north, but that's all a matter of degree. Many areas that are not going to be struck now by a hurricane are still looking at the possibility of a slow moving storm passing through and dropping a lot of rain on them.
I see one positive and that is the earlier start of evacuation. SC was evacuating even when official forecasts had greater impact on NC. Now, a concern, are people evacuating far enough. Not sure anyone knows what that is. However, we saw many during Irma who moved to Orlando and Jacksonville and experienced tremendous flooding in those areas.
One thing I haven't seen as much of as we're use to is shelters. They're the hope of those who wait too long to move as far as they'd like, but also for those who simply can't afford to evacuate as they wish. Eastern NC and SC both have a lot of poor people for whom fuel and transportation may not be affordable, motels are not, and restaurants are not. I see where Coast RTA is using their buses for some level of evacuation in the Myrtle Beach and Conway area, but the sidebar to that is they're ending their evacuation services early this afternoon.
Hurricanes like this take a huge toll on a lot of people and can't be measured only by dollars of damage or even loss of lives.