And that's why sweeping generalizations (made by politicians and NGOs) about energy production, transmission, and consumption are useless. One size does not fit all.
There are so many variables. Solar, nuclear, hydropower, biomass and hydrocarbons all have their place and merit. Demonizing one over the other is either activism, or ignorance.
The International Energy Agency (
www.iea.org) is a great reference for data, current issues, and burgeoning tech. But like any organization, read their predictions with skepticism.
If we could accurately predict complex issues, we wouldn't have complex issues to deal with...
Exactly, every form of energy is going to have some inefficiency. In the end, it's all a question of what strikes the best compromise of efficiency and logistical problems.
I couldn't agree more. One size will not fit all. As much as human beings crave simple, one-button solutions, I don't think that will happen with energy. There are too many variables and local specifics that will likely make different solutions more viable for particular areas.
Nor do I think it would be wise to put all our eggs in one basket. Even if one magical 'answer' was found, what would happen if there was a problem with it?
The same applies to the current craze over 'electric cars.' Mandating the sale of only EVs is not the 'answer.' It's one piece of a complex puzzle, with many upstream and downstream impacts and considerations. How is the electric power generated? What is the actual energy
source, not just form of transmission?Even if you somehow forced everyone to buy an EV, can you even transmit all that extra power (to which the sobering answer is, not without significant expense to upgrade an antiquated transmission system) -
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/23/...type=Homepage§ion=Climate and Environment
https://www.forbes.com/sites/prakas...tchover-to-electric-vehicles/?sh=1bc86ed15671
https://www.newsnationnow.com/on-ba...ornia-asks-ev-owners-to-cut-back-on-charging/
The many complex issues of generating and transmitting power are why it might sometimes make sense to convert one form of energy to another (despite the unavoidable and inherent losses in doing so).
While converting electricity to other forms of energy results in losses, there are inherent limits to the density of how much electricity can be stored in batteries. It's also an inherent human failing to write thorny problems off as 'they'll figure it out.' But those pesky laws of physics are very strict.
Lithium batteries (not even considering the environmental costs of mining lithium) store about 0.5 megajoules per kg - about 1% the energy density of hydrocarbon fuels. Even with continued development and counting on achieving perfect engineering, the theoretical maximum energy density of lithium batteries is only about 2 megajoules per kg - about 5% that of hydrocarbon fuels.
https://thebulletin.org/2009/01/the-limits-of-energy-storage-technology/
Even if the electricity was generated by pure solar or 'fusion' (which isn't feasible yet), there is still the problem of storage for mobility. Battery storage will always have inherent limits on range (as well as charge time) for airplanes and smaller pleasure boats. The laws of physics limit how much energy can be crammed into a battery in a given space and weight.
This is why it might make sense to use green electricity from solar, wind, tidal, etc. to make 'e-fuels,' synthetic methane, diesel, etc. that have 20x+ the energy density achievable with batteries.
https://www.engie.com/en/news/e-fuels-what-are-they
A synthetic e-fuel would emit carbon when burned, but it would be carbon-neutral because it's creation involved bonding of existing CO2. They also have the additional advantages of the same energy density as current fossil fuels and thus usable for and provide the same range in aircraft, boats, and other transportation applications, could be used in existing engines, and could be transported in existing pipelines and other infrastructure.
While not perfect, nothing is. I personally would be thrilled with a future using electricity for stationary applications (homes, industry) and where power lines can be used such as rail, and carbon-neutral synthetic fuels for mobility. It would certainly be a major improvement over the current situation of sucking things out of the ground and burning them, and adding to atmospheric CO2.